Expansion Trends

New Highs & Lows is a daily breadth indicator that measures the percentage of liquid Pokémon trading cards reaching 30-day price extremes. The metric tracks two components: cards trading at their 30-day high and cards trading at their 30-day low. Cards are only included if they meet minimum liquidity thresholds and price requirements. The metric is calculated for both the overall market (all cards ≥ $1) and a premium segment (cards ≥ $50), revealing whether aggressive price movements are concentrated in higher-value collectibles or driven by the broader market.

The methodology for New Highs & Lows is outlined as follows: Eligible Universe: Includes English Pokémon trading cards meeting minimum liquidity thresholds, price requirements (≥ $1), and price history requirements (≥ 30 days). Excludes sealed products, graded cards, and non-English releases. Calculation: For each trading day, two percentages are calculated: • New Highs: % of eligible cards trading at their highest price in the last 30 days • New Lows: % of eligible cards trading at their lowest price in the last 30 days Price Tiers: Metrics are calculated for two segments: • All Cards: Cards priced at $1 or higher • $50+: Cards priced at $50 or higher Calculation Frequency: Updated daily based on TCGplayer market price data.

New Highs & Lows captures the aggressiveness of market movements in the Pokémon TCG market. Unlike broader momentum indicators, this metric specifically tracks cards hitting 30-day price extremes, revealing the intensity of buying and selling pressure. High new highs percentages indicate aggressive buying with cards breaking out to new peaks, while high new lows percentages signal capitulation or aggressive selling. When both readings are low, it may suggest market consolidation without strong directional conviction. Extreme readings could indicate potential trend exhaustion or upcoming reversals. The $50+ tier isolates premium and collectible cards, showing whether price extremes are concentrated in higher-value items or driven primarily by the broader market of common cards.